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Articles on AI, project risk management, probabilistic thinking, and decision making under uncertainty.

Digital mindset and probabilistic control
AI & Project Risk March 2026 8 min read

From Digital Mindset to Probabilistic Control: How AI, Frameworks, and Simulation Are Reshaping Project Risk Management

Project management has no shortage of frameworks, tools, or standards — yet project outcomes remain inconsistent. The missing link is not methodology, but mindset. Drawing on Neeley and Leonardi's work on the digital mindset, this article argues that meaningful improvement in project control emerges when probabilistic methods, simulation, and AI are integrated into everyday decision-making.

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Manuel Carmona
Manuel Carmona
MBA · PMI-RMP® · AI Expert Certificate · Published Author
AI black box opacity
Research & Academia Feb 2026

Project Risk Management in the Age of the Black Box

As learning algorithms become embedded in cost forecasting, risk prioritisation, and portfolio decisions, they subtly alter authority, accountability, and professional judgment. The key challenge is no longer technical accuracy — it is how to work responsibly with systems whose logic cannot be fully inspected.

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Skills and capability development
Tools & Methods Feb 2026

The AI Model Doesn't Matter Much. The Skills Do.

ChatGPT is not the last word in AI, just as Google was not the last word in search. In AI, model leadership is unusually fragile. The real asset is not which tool you choose — it is the skill to work with AI safely, fluently, and repeatedly inside real workflows.

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AI agents in the workplace
AI & Project Risk Jan 2026

AI Agents at Work: What Project Risk Managers Need to Think About

AI agents can now access files, reorganise folders, update spreadsheets, and execute multi-step tasks with minimal supervision. This is no longer future-of-work speculation. It is operational reality — and exactly where structured risk thinking must step in.

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AI agency and restacking of work
Research & Academia Jan 2026

AI, Agency, and the Restacking of Project Risk Management

AI systems are crossing a threshold: from augmenting analysis to participating in coordination, interpretation, and decision authority. Drawing on Choudary's concept of "restacking," this article examines who holds agency when humans and AI work together on project decisions.

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